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Getting started: a simple strategy for your first weeks

Your first weeks on Gecko Edge should do two things: keep the routine simple, and give you evidence the process works. This entry is that routine.

Start with leagues you know. Pick two or three competitions you follow, or the major European leagues, and ignore the rest for now. Familiar teams make the outputs easier to judge: when the model rates a fixture, you have your own sense of the sides to compare it against, and you learn the platform’s language faster. Coverage spans 130+ leagues, and they will still be there when you widen out.

Within those leagues, look for two indicators in everything you run: a Sanity (Confidence) Score of 7 or higher, and +EV of 5% or more. Those two filters immediately focus you on some of the stronger opportunities on a given day. You can then use the ‘save bet’ feature to add them to your +EV bet tracker.

The filters cut in different ways. Sanity is the model’s confidence in its own analysis, out of 10. +EV is the gap between the modelled fair price and the bookmaker’s price, as a percentage. High Sanity with low EV says the model is confident but the market is already priced sharp; high EV with low Sanity says the price gap is big but the data is shakier. Asking for both at once gets you confident analysis with a meaningful edge. In the documented case study of 8,439 bets across 66 competitions, the 7 / 5% setting produced the cleanest balance between volume and quality.

Expect some quiet days. Value betting is selective, and a day with one or two qualifying fixtures, or none, is the filter protecting you, not the platform failing. Log every qualifying bet you take, with the price and the two numbers at the time. Judge your first weeks on process: opportunities found, prices taken, reasoning understood. Individual results swing early, in both directions; the log is what shows the method working, and it is where the first wins show up.

Then widen out. Once the routine feels natural, add leagues, or adjust and expand your filters while increasing the depth of your analysis. You can also use the +EV Bet Tracker dashboard to paper trade and develop out your strategies.

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